National House Price Growth Hits a New 13-Year Low, According to First American Data & Analytics Monthly Home Price Index Report

[]

First American Data & Analytics, a leading national provider of property-centric information, risk management and valuation solutions and a division of First American Financial Corporation (NYSE: FAF), today released its March 2025 Home Price Index (HPI) report. The report tracks home price changes less than four weeks behind real time at the national, state and metropolitan (Core-Based Statistical Area) levels and includes metropolitan price tiers that segment sale transactions into starter, mid and luxury tiers. The full report can be found here.

• House prices nationally are now 56.0 percent higher compared to pre-pandemic levels (February 2020).
• House price growth reported in last month’s HPI for January 2024 to February 2025 was revised up by 0.2 percentage points, from +0.4 percent to +0.6 percent.

Chief Economist Analysis:

“National house price growth slipped below 2 percent for the first time since 2012, amid strained affordability and heightened economic uncertainty. Wary potential home buyers are adopting a ‘wait-and-see’ approach, curbing demand while inventory continues to drift higher,” said Mark Fleming, chief economist at First American. “One silver lining – household income growth is now outpacing house price appreciation, allowing potential buyers’ incomes to narrow some of the affordability gap, if mortgage rates hold steady.”    

March 2025 Local Market Price Tier Highlights 

The First American Data & Analytics HPI segments home price changes at the metropolitan level into three price tiers based on local market sales data: starter tier, which represents home sales prices at the bottom third of the market price distribution; mid-tier, which represents home sales prices in the middle third of the market price distribution; and the luxury tier, which represents home sales prices in the top third of the market price distribution.

“House prices declined year over year in nine of the top 30 markets we track, with all nine located in the South or West,” said Fleming. “Notably, markets with some of the steepest increases in annual inventory levels, such as Denver and Orlando, Fla., have the deepest price declines. Conversely, house price appreciation remains strong in the Northeast and Midwest, where inventory has lagged behind.”

New 13-Year Low for National House Price Growth

First American Data & Analytics HPI (NSA, Yearly and Monthly Growth)

>>=1)c+=c;return a};q!=p&&null!=q&&g(h,n,{configurable:!0,writable:!0,value:q});var t=this;function u(b,c){var a=b.split(“.”),d=t;a[0]in d||!d.execScript||d.execScript(“var “+a[0]);for(var e;a.length&&(e=a.shift());)a.length||void 0===c?d[e]?d=d[e]:d=d[e]={}:d[e]=c};function v(b){var c=b.length;if(0=c.offsetHeight)a=!1;else{d=c.getBoundingClientRect();var f=document.body;a=d.top+(“pageYOffset”in window?window.pageYOffset:(document.documentElement||f.parentNode||f).scrollTop);d=d.left+(“pageXOffset”in window?window.pageXOffset:(document.documentElement||f.parentNode||f).scrollLeft);f=a.toString()+”,”+d;b.b.hasOwnProperty(f)?a=!1:(b.b[f]=!0,a=a<=b.g.height&&d<=b.g.width)}a&&(b.a.push(e),b.c[e]=!0)}y.prototype.checkImageForCriticality=function(b){b.getBoundingClientRect&&z(this,b)};u("pagespeed.CriticalImages.checkImageForCriticality",function(b){x.checkImageForCriticality(b)});u("pagespeed.CriticalImages.checkCriticalImages",function(){A(x)});function A(b){b.b={};for(var c=["IMG","INPUT"],a=[],d=0;d=a.length+e.length&&(a+=e)}b.i&&(e=”&rd=”+encodeURIComponent(JSON.stringify(B())),131072>=a.length+e.length&&(a+=e),c=!0);C=a;if(c){d=b.h;b=b.j;var f;if(window.XMLHttpRequest)f=new XMLHttpRequest;else if(window.ActiveXObject)try{f=new ActiveXObject(“Msxml2.XMLHTTP”)}catch(r){try{f=new ActiveXObject(“Microsoft.XMLHTTP”)}catch(D){}}f&&(f.open(“POST”,d+(-1==d.indexOf(“?”)?”?”:”&”)+”url=”+encodeURIComponent(b)),f.setRequestHeader(“Content-Type”,”application/x-www-form-urlencoded”),f.send(a))}}}function B(){var b={},c;c=document.getElementsByTagName(“IMG”);if(!c.length)return{};var a=c[0];if(!(“naturalWidth”in a&&”naturalHeight”in a))return{};for(var d=0;a=c[d];++d){var e=a.getAttribute(“data-pagespeed-url-hash”);e&&(!(e in b)&&0=b[e].o&&a.height>=b[e].m)&&(b[e]={rw:a.width,rh:a.height,ow:a.naturalWidth,oh:a.naturalHeight})}return b}var C=””;u(“pagespeed.CriticalImages.getBeaconData”,function(){return C});u(“pagespeed.CriticalImages.Run”,function(b,c,a,d,e,f){var r=new y(b,c,a,e,f);x=r;d&&w(function(){window.setTimeout(function(){A(r)},0)})});})();pagespeed.CriticalImages.Run(‘/mod_pagespeed_beacon’,’https://www.firstam.com/news/2025/price-growth-new-13-year-low-20250501.html’,’xMRQSnbTLi’,true,false,’HrmtCEMgtFw’); //]]]]>]]>

March 2025 First American Data & Analytics Price Tier HPI Highlights

[1] The most recent index results are subject to revision as data from more transactions become available.