Bonds were modestly and inconsequentially more powerful in the over night session. By 8am, this brought 10yr yields just under 4.30%. Less than an hour later, yields fell to 4.23 and MBS rose over 3/8ths of a point on a trio of headings. The first was an information from a proposed strategy to end the war (including unfreezing Iranian assets in exchange for Uranium). The second was a notice about settlements in Islamabad this Sunday which defeat might personally participate in. The third was the greatest market mover and involved Iran’s Foreign Minister announcing a reopening of Hormuz for the rest of the ceasefire. It’s uncertain how that info engages with the U.S. blockade, but the market doesn’t appear to be asking that concern.

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In spite of the sharp gains, today’s bond market motion still fits in the scope of the wider drop since late March.

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