Bonds invest most of the night trading sideways to a little more powerful. Oil prices fell dramatically, making it appealing to conclude that’s the reason that 10yr yields were almost 7bps lower at 9am. But majority of the oil rally was over before Treasuries began rallying. There was an apparent and unusually large volume spike in Treasuries around 7:50 am ET. Oil was still falling at the time. It likely contributed to the bond purchasing, however insufficient that we ‘d give it main credit. The nature of the Treasury rally is extremely suggestive of enormous accounts partaking in quarter-end rebalancing (simply a larger variation of month-end trading).

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In spite of the surge, yields are only now returning to the usual 4.42% technical resistance level that’s obstructed more development because late Might.

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